New Poll: Marty Walsh Leads the Mayoral Race

Walsh is leading by seven percentage points, according to a UMass-Amherst poll.

The Boston mayoral race has completely flipped since the preliminary election with Marty Walsh poised to win next Tuesday’s race, according to a new poll from the University of Massachusetts-Amherst.

“It looks like a totally different race than it was a few weeks ago if these numbers are to be believed,” says Ray LaRaja, UMass-Amherst political science professor.

Walsh now leads by seven percentage points, 47%-40%, with 14 percent of likely voters undecided.

High-profile endorsements from Charlotte Golar-Richie, Linda Dorcena Forry, and others — has reversed Connolly’s one-time advantage among women. Walsh now leads among women 49%-35%, according to the new poll.

Walsh also holds a 48%-42% lead among non-white voters, and also leads with young voters, liberals, and even parents with children in Boston schools—all battlegrounds Connolly is expected to need to win.

Higher-income voters favor Connolly, but Walsh holds a two-to-one lead in households with income below $50,000.

The poll was taken from October 22 to 26, and has a margin of error of +/- 5.9%.

David S. Bernstein
David S. Bernstein David S. Bernstein, Contributing Editor, Boston Magazine

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